The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nashville SC v León

2026-08-06 00:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville SC (Local)

Prediction 58.08%1.72fair odd
EV -5.91%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -9.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%57.59%58.08%59.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.621.6263.69%62.18%61.92%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

León (Visit)

Prediction 18.74%5.34fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.311%
Kelly -0.384%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.21%18.97%18.74%20.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.764.855.2522.73%21.00%20.62%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.18%4.31fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -0.824%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.44%23.18%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.904.2027.78%25.98%25.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nashville SC (Local): 58.08%; León (Visit): 18.74%; Draw: 23.18%. For León (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.25, with an expected value of -1.63%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -1.63%E -0.311%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.64%E -0.627%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:34
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.25%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.43%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -7.25%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.43%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -7.25%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.65%EV -8.66%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:10
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -11.00%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -10.75%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 16:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -17.56%E -3.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -16.54%E -4.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -17.56%E -3.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -16.54%E -4.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -17.56%E -3.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -16.54%E -4.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 17:29
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -17.56%E -3.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -16.54%E -4.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 18:44
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 16:34
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.06%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 16:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.19%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 56.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%13.7%2026-08-02 16:35