Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nashville SC v León

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-06 00:40 UTC

Score final : Nashville SC 0–1 León

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nashville SC (Local)

Prévision 40.30%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.16%40.40%40.29%42.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.262.252.4045.45%44.16%44.44%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

León (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.01%3.12cote équitable
EV +1.81%
Avantage +0.568%
Kelly +0.829%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%31.92%32.01%32.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.953.1837.04%34.28%33.90%31.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.68%3.61cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -0.889%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.62%27.68%27.70%29.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.413.5033.33%29.61%29.33%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nashville SC (Local) : 40.30% ; León (Visiteur) : 32.01% ; Match nul : 27.68%. Pour León (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.12. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.18, soit une espérance positive de +1.81%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.82%EV +1.81%E +0.568%K +0.829%G +0.015%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.65%EV -5.05%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -0.754%E -0.243%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 00:15
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.13%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -2.99%E -0.988%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -5.05%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 00:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-06 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.34%EV -4.89%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -5.60%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.34%EV -4.89%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -5.60%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:15
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.11%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 00:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.56%E -1.88%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.03%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 00:25
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:15
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 00:18
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 00:10
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 00:15
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.80%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:20
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.80%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:20
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.80%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-06 00:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.80%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-06 00:25
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.76%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.26%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 00:15
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-06 00:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -16.95%E -5.65%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-06 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -16.95%E -5.65%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-06 00:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -16.95%E -5.65%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-06 00:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -16.95%E -5.65%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-06 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.96%E -4.35%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.88%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 00:20
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.96%E -4.35%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.56%E -5.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-08-06 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-08-06 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-08-06 00:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-06 00:25