Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville SC v Atlético San Luis

2026-08-10 00:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville SC (Local)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.63%52.02%52.29%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.66%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.338%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.41%23.40%23.43%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.923.904.2027.03%25.52%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.604%
Kelly -0.805%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.47%24.58%24.28%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.754.0029.41%26.92%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nashville SC (Local): 52.13%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 23.47%; Draw: 24.40%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -1.42%E -0.338%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -2.41%E -0.604%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 09:15
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 12:04
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 09:50
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.94%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:15
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.94%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 09:15
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.33%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.83%EV -4.24%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:19
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.73%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -2.41%E -0.604%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.73%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 11:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.73%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.25%E -4.69%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 09:15
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.05%E -5.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.05%E -5.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.05%E -5.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 09:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -17.05%E -5.02%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 10:00
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.46%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 12:44
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.15%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -14.61%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 10:00
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -9.81%E -5.67%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -10.33%E -6.01%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.81%E -2.84%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.37%E -6.69%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.16%E -3.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%11.2%2026-08-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 39.94%1.06I 94.34%NM 39.19%1.99I 50.25%NM 20.87%140.7%2026-08-08 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 39.94%1.06I 94.34%NM 39.19%1.99I 50.25%NM 20.87%140.7%2026-08-08 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 12:14