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Nashville SC v Atlético San Luis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nashville SC (Local)
Prediction 54.94%1.82fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.27%54.88%54.94%56.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.681.681.7460.98%59.36%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético San Luis (Visit)
Prediction 20.09%4.98fair odd
EV +4.49%
Edge +0.863%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.43%20.15%20.03%21.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.504.505.2023.81%22.20%22.22%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.97%4.01fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.575%
Kelly +0.760%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%24.97%25.03%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.833.794.1030.30%26.13%26.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville SC (Local): 54.94%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 20.09%; Draw: 24.97%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.73%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV +4.49%E +0.863%K +1.07%G +0.048% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.84%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.89%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.63%EV -2.75%E -0.567%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.49%EV -3.14%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -3.55%E -0.739%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -2.64%E -0.676%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -3.55%E -0.739%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 23:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -3.55%E -0.739%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.95%EV -3.95%E -0.827%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.23%EV -5.63%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.95%EV -3.95%E -0.827%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.23%EV -5.63%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -4.55%E -0.959%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.139%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 23:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.56%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.56%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 23:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.11%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.98%EV -8.57%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 23:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -17.61%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -17.61%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -17.61%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 23:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -17.61%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.99%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 23:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.99%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -13.60%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -14.60%E -3.44%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.139%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 23:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.53%EV -9.90%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.85% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |