Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nashville SC v Atlético San Luis

Início: 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC

Final: Nashville SC 4–1 Atlético San Luis

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nashville SC (Local)

Previsão 54.94%1.82odd justa
EV -4.40%
Vantagem -2.53%
Kelly -5.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.27%54.88%54.94%56.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.681.681.7460.98%59.36%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlético San Luis (Visitante)

Previsão 20.09%4.98odd justa
EV +4.49%
Vantagem +0.863%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescimento +0.048%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.43%20.15%20.03%21.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.504.505.2023.81%22.20%22.22%19.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.97%4.01odd justa
EV +2.36%
Vantagem +0.575%
Kelly +0.760%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.74%24.97%25.03%26.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.833.794.1030.30%26.13%26.39%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nashville SC (Local): 54.94%; Atlético San Luis (Visitante): 20.09%; Empate: 24.97%. Para Atlético San Luis (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.98. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.49%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.73%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV +4.49%E +0.863%K +1.07%G +0.048%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.84%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 23:45
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.89%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.63%EV -2.75%E -0.567%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.49%EV -3.14%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -3.55%E -0.739%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -2.64%E -0.676%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 23:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -3.55%E -0.739%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 23:44
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -3.55%E -0.739%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.95%EV -3.95%E -0.827%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.23%EV -5.63%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.95%EV -3.95%E -0.827%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.23%EV -5.63%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -4.55%E -0.959%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.139%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 23:45
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 23:54
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.56%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 23:49
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.56%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 23:48
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.11%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.98%EV -8.57%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 23:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 23:34
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 23:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -17.61%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -17.61%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -17.61%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 23:44
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -17.61%E -5.34%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 23:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -12.59%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.36%E +0.575%K +0.760%G +0.018%7.3%2026-08-09 23:55
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.99%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 23:54
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.99%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.86%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -13.60%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -14.60%E -3.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -0.139%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 23:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.53%EV -9.90%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 23:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.85%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.7%2026-08-09 23:55