Language:English
Monterrey v Nashville SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 48.23%2.07fair odd
EV +3.70%
Edge +1.72%
Kelly +3.22%
Growth +0.119%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.45%47.93%48.24%50.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.1554.05%51.03%51.28%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nashville SC (Visit)
Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.517%
Kelly +0.709%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.62%27.75%27.45%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.343.353.7034.48%29.95%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.22%4.13fair odd
EV +0.519%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.165%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%24.32%24.31%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.604.1529.41%26.75%27.78%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 48.23%; Nashville SC (Visit): 27.54%; Draw: 24.22%. For Monterrey (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +3.70%E +1.72%K +3.22%G +0.119% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -20.12%E -6.94%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.23%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-12 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +3.70%E +1.72%K +3.22%G +0.119% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -20.12%E -6.94%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.23%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-12 23:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.05%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV -9.65%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -4.50%E -2.27%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.692%E -0.169%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.692%E -0.169%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.11%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.13%EV +0.519%E +0.125%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 23:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.11%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.33%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 23:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -17.65%E -5.19%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -2.22%E -0.625%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV +0.034%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -2.22%E -0.625%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV +0.034%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV +1.91%E +0.517%K +0.709%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -3.11%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 23:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-12 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-12 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.5% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.5% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |