Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey v Nashville SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-13 00:00 UTC

Score final : Monterrey 2–1 Nashville SC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 48.23%2.07cote équitable
EV +3.70%
Avantage +1.72%
Kelly +3.22%
Croissance +0.119%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.45%47.93%48.24%50.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.961.952.1554.05%51.03%51.28%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nashville SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.54%3.63cote équitable
EV +1.91%
Avantage +0.517%
Kelly +0.709%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.62%27.75%27.45%31.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.343.353.7034.48%29.95%29.85%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.22%4.13cote équitable
EV +0.519%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.165%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.02%24.32%24.31%26.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.743.604.1529.41%26.75%27.78%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Monterrey (Local) : 48.23% ; Nashville SC (Visiteur) : 27.54% ; Match nul : 24.22%. Pour Monterrey (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.07. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.15, soit une espérance positive de +3.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +3.70%E +1.72%K +3.22%G +0.119%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -20.12%E -6.94%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.23%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-12 23:54
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +3.70%E +1.72%K +3.22%G +0.119%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -20.12%E -6.94%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.23%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-12 23:54
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.05%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV -9.65%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:49
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -2.57%E -1.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -4.50%E -2.27%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.692%E -0.169%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.692%E -0.169%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 23:49
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.94%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.11%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 23:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.91%E -3.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -2.49%E -0.704%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.13%EV +0.519%E +0.125%K +0.165%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-12 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 23:55
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -7.39%E -3.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 23:49
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.11%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 23:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.33%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 23:43
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 23:55
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -7.87%E -4.12%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -17.65%E -5.19%K -7.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-12 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -2.22%E -0.625%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV +0.034%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -8.35%E -4.40%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -2.22%E -0.625%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV +0.034%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:45
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV +1.91%E +0.517%K +0.709%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -3.11%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 23:48
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -9.80%E -5.24%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-12 23:49
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-12 23:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 23:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.61%E -4.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-08-12 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.5%2026-08-12 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.5%2026-08-12 23:55
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-08-12 23:55