The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles FC v Querétaro

2026-08-13 02:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Prediction 68.13%1.47fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -13.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.66%68.13%68.08%69.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.361.3975.76%73.83%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Querétaro (Visit)

Prediction 13.47%7.42fair odd
EV +4.57%
Edge +0.588%
Kelly +0.675%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 7.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.81%13.43%13.54%15.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.746.757.7616.95%14.83%14.81%12.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.40%5.44fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.214%
Kelly +0.262%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.15%18.45%18.38%19.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.045.205.5022.22%19.82%19.23%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles FC (Local): 68.13%; Querétaro (Visit): 13.47%; Draw: 18.40%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.42. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.76, producing a positive expected value of +4.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%7.76I 12.89%NM 11.81%EV +4.57%E +0.588%K +0.675%G +0.031%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.26%EV -12.43%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-11 12:45
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +1.06%E +0.142%K +0.163%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -11.70%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 13:15
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +1.06%E +0.142%K +0.163%G +0.002%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.02%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 12:34
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -2.31%E -0.318%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -3.42%E -0.652%K -0.805%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:35
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.68%E -0.811%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +1.18%E +0.214%K +0.262%G +0.003%6.0%2026-08-11 13:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.68%E -0.811%K -0.946%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -12.62%E -2.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 13:19
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -10.07%E -7.63%K -31.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -5.68%E -0.811%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -2.50%E -0.472%K -0.582%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 10:49
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.20%EV -8.71%E -6.50%K -25.61%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.34%EV -7.70%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -8.94%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.19%EV -6.66%E -4.86%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.19%EV -6.66%E -4.86%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 12:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -3.42%E -0.652%K -0.805%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 12:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:08
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.34%E -0.835%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.60%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -9.04%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -6.18%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-11 10:50
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.64%EV -6.66%E -4.86%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.83%EV -9.72%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.02%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 12:54
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.64%EV -6.66%E -4.86%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.83%EV -9.72%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.02%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 12:54
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.81%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.41%EV -11.87%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -2.50%E -0.472%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 12:19
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.41%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.02%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 12:54
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.41%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.02%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.41%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -8.02%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-11 11:23
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.41%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -17.22%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 12:54
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.41%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -17.22%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.41%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -17.22%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.41%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -17.22%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.66%EV -8.03%E -5.95%K -22.93%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -15.78%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.62%E -2.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.29%EV -8.71%E -6.50%K -25.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -19.15%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.68%EV -6.18%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-11 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.81%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.06%EV -20.50%E -3.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.13%EV -9.86%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-11 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 66.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%10.5%2026-08-11 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 66.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%10.5%2026-08-11 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 66.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%11.4%2026-08-11 13:25
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%11.5%2026-08-11 13:20

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