Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles FC v Querétaro

2026-08-13 02:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Predicción 69.03%1.45momio equitativo
EV -4.74%
Ventaja -3.43%
Kelly -12.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.79%68.90%69.03%70.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.361.3876.92%74.19%73.53%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Querétaro (Visitante)

Predicción 12.67%7.89momio equitativo
EV +7.69%
Ventaja +0.905%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.079%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.82%12.68%12.45%14.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.066.908.5016.67%14.17%14.49%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 18.30%5.46momio equitativo
EV +0.657%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.146%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.86%18.42%18.53%20.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.335.055.205.5023.09%19.81%19.23%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles FC (Local): 69.03%; Querétaro (Visitante): 12.67%; Empate: 18.30%. Para Querétaro (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.89. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 8.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.69%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -10.26%E -7.89%K -34.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +7.69%E +0.905%K +1.03%G +0.079%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 14:14
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -8.88%E -6.73%K -27.75%G +0.000%8.43I 11.86%NM 11.01%EV +6.80%E +0.807%K +0.916%G +0.062%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.64%EV -8.86%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 14:15
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.36%E +0.169%K +0.194%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 14:01
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.50%E -5.60%K -22.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +1.36%E +0.169%K +0.194%G +0.003%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -6.81%E -5.04%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -1.81%E -0.234%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.657%E +0.119%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.2%2026-08-11 13:34
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -9.57%E -7.31%K -30.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV +0.657%E +0.119%K +0.146%G +0.001%7.9%2026-08-11 13:34
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.19%E -6.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -20.76%E -4.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-11 14:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.19%E -6.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -20.76%E -4.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-11 14:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.19%E -6.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -20.76%E -4.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-11 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.19%E -6.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -4.98%E -0.664%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -20.76%E -4.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-11 14:14
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 12.72%EV -7.26%E -0.992%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.81%EV -9.41%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.03%EV -9.57%E -7.31%K -30.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -8.15%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -3.00%E -0.567%K -0.698%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 13:35
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.81%EV -8.19%E -6.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.89%EV -10.05%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +0.657%E +0.119%K +0.146%G +0.001%6.0%2026-08-11 13:19
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -4.74%E -3.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 13:36
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.81%E -5.04%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 13:44
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.26%E -7.89%K -34.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.31%E -1.62%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 13:33
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -12.58%E -1.82%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 14:14
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -12.58%E -1.82%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.19%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.19%EV -5.43%E -3.96%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 12:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -3.92%E -0.746%K -0.922%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 12:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:08
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -14.48%E -2.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.79%EV -6.81%E -5.04%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -20.82%E -3.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-11 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.68%EV -8.19%E -6.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -23.98%E -4.00%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -4.83%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.55%EV -9.57%E -7.31%K -30.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -23.98%E -4.00%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-11 14:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.73%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%4.0%2026-08-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.73%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%4.0%2026-08-11 14:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.73%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%4.0%2026-08-11 14:10
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%8.6%2026-08-11 14:15

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