Language:English
León v Real Salt Lake
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
León (Local)
Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV +0.629%
Edge +0.210%
Kelly +0.314%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.05%33.34%33.63%35.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.843.0038.46%35.15%35.21%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Salt Lake (Visit)
Prediction 39.17%2.55fair odd
EV -0.504%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.327%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.27%39.34%39.15%42.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.5446.51%43.42%43.48%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.492%
Kelly -0.681%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.07%27.32%27.22%28.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.503.6032.26%29.20%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 33.54%; Real Salt Lake (Visit): 39.17%; Draw: 27.29%. For León (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.629%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.77%E -0.492%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -1.05%E -0.355%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 02:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 02:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.88%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.64%EV -2.46%E -0.989%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.77%E -0.492%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 02:22 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.69%E -3.96%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.00%EV -9.10%E -3.36%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.34%EV -0.504%E -0.199%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.65%EV -6.41%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -15.78%E -7.34%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -14.05%E -4.46%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.69%E -3.96%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-26 02:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.2% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.81% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-08-26 02:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.70% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53% | 2.3% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.11% | 2.5% | 2026-08-26 02:34 |