Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

León v Real Salt Lake

Início: 2026-08-26 02:40 UTC

Final: León 3–0 Real Salt Lake

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

León (Local)

Previsão 33.54%2.98odd justa
EV +0.629%
Vantagem +0.210%
Kelly +0.314%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.05%33.34%33.63%35.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.842.843.0038.46%35.15%35.21%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Real Salt Lake (Visitante)

Previsão 39.17%2.55odd justa
EV -0.504%
Vantagem -0.199%
Kelly -0.327%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.27%39.34%39.15%42.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.302.302.5446.51%43.42%43.48%39.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.29%3.66odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -0.492%
Kelly -0.681%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.07%27.32%27.22%28.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.433.503.6032.26%29.20%28.57%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: León (Local): 33.54%; Real Salt Lake (Visitante): 39.17%; Empate: 27.29%. Para León (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.98. 18 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.629%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 02:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.77%E -0.492%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 02:34
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.14%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 02:34
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 02:34
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 02:34
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -1.05%E -0.355%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 02:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 02:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 02:19
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 02:29
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.88%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.64%EV -2.46%E -0.989%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 02:19
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.77%E -0.492%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 02:04
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 02:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-26 02:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-26 02:34
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -2.07%E -0.828%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 02:22
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 02:29
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-26 02:29
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-26 02:29
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 02:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-26 02:29
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-26 02:29
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-26 02:29
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.86%E -5.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.69%E -3.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-26 02:34
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.00%EV -9.10%E -3.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.34%EV -0.504%E -0.199%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.65%EV -6.41%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 02:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-26 02:29
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -15.78%E -7.34%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -14.05%E -4.46%K -6.54%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-26 02:34
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.69%E -3.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-26 02:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 02:34
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 02:33
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 02:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 02:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 02:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-08-26 02:34
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.81%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-26 02:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.70%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%2.3%2026-08-26 02:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.11%2.5%2026-08-26 02:34