Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.82
assuming max odds 4.33
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Crew SC (Local): 53.30%; Pumas (Visit): 23.28%; Draw: 23.42%. For Pumas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.792%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -14.19%E -8.81%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV +0.792%E +0.183%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -9.92%E -5.87%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -1.07%E -0.252%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.23%E -0.532%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:23 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.23%E -0.532%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 23:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -12.05%E -7.31%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -2.23%E -0.532%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 23:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.02%EV -4.10%E -0.994%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.81%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.81%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.32%E -4.84%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.32%E -4.84%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -9.92%E -5.87%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.15%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.59%EV -10.15%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.26%EV -4.44%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.68%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.12%EV -8.86%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.54%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.79%E -4.50%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.54%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.79%E -4.50%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.54%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -13.87%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-11 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -8.32%E -4.84%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-11 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 23:15 |