Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Columbus Crew SC v Pumas

Início: 2026-08-11 23:30 UTC

Final: Columbus Crew SC 1–1 Pumas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Columbus Crew SC (Local)

Previsão 53.30%1.88odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.35%53.28%53.32%56.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.721.721.8262.11%58.12%58.14%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pumas (Visitante)

Previsão 23.28%4.30odd justa
EV +0.792%
Vantagem +0.183%
Kelly +0.238%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.96%23.25%23.20%24.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.054.074.3327.78%24.69%24.54%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.42%4.27odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.388%
Kelly -0.509%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.68%23.47%23.48%25.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.974.004.2028.57%25.22%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Columbus Crew SC (Local): 53.30%; Pumas (Visitante): 23.28%; Empate: 23.42%. Para Pumas (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.30. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.33, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.792%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -14.19%E -8.81%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV +0.792%E +0.183%K +0.238%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-11 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -10.46%E -6.22%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -9.92%E -5.87%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -1.07%E -0.252%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.23%E -0.532%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:23
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.23%E -0.532%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 23:18
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -12.05%E -7.31%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -2.23%E -0.532%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 23:13
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.02%EV -4.10%E -0.994%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 23:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.81%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.81%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.32%E -4.84%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:19
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.32%E -4.84%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -5.73%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:25
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -7.48%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 23:24
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -9.92%E -5.87%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-11 23:04
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.15%EV -2.99%E -1.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.59%EV -10.15%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.26%EV -4.44%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.68%EV -4.06%E -2.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -9.83%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 23:19
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -5.66%E -3.20%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:14
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.12%EV -8.86%E -5.18%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-11 23:24
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.54%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.79%E -4.50%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.54%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.79%E -4.50%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.54%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.26%E -4.17%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -13.87%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-11 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -8.32%E -4.84%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-11 23:14
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-11 23:24
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-11 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-11 23:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.20%E -4.50%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-11 23:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-11 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-08-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-08-11 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-08-11 23:15