The School of Odds
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América v Monterrey

2026-09-03 03:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

América (Local)

Prediction 41.98%2.38fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.99%41.93%41.84%42.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.252.3048.78%45.23%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monterrey (Visit)

Prediction 31.24%3.20fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%31.26%31.31%32.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.912.903.1035.71%34.35%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.80%26.84%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.553.6031.25%28.79%28.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: América (Local): 41.98%; Monterrey (Visit): 31.24%; Draw: 26.78%. For Monterrey (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -3.15%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.59%E -0.997%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 11:19
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.15%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 11:44
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.59%E -0.997%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 10:55
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:50
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:50
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:50
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:55
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 10:55
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -6.39%E -2.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 10:50
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.16%EV -6.81%E -3.07%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.79%EV -5.02%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.05%EV -7.34%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 12:35
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.84%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.59%E -0.997%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 11:20
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.71%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.59%E -0.997%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 11:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 10:45
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -8.49%E -3.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.71%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 10:54
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -8.49%E -3.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.71%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 10:55
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -8.49%E -3.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:19
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.75%E -4.53%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 11:20
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.75%E -4.53%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 11:45
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.75%E -4.53%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.75%E -4.53%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.75%E -4.53%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 11:45
ReBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.44%EV -10.17%E -4.75%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.69%EV -7.52%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.87%EV -9.48%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -10.96%E -3.85%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.95%E -6.80%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-28 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 19.20%1.44I 69.44%NM 40.68%70.7%2026-08-28 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 19.20%1.44I 69.44%NM 40.68%70.7%2026-08-28 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 19.20%1.44I 69.44%NM 40.68%70.7%2026-08-28 12:30
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 40.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 19.14%1.42I 70.42%NM 40.43%74.2%2026-08-28 12:40