Language:English
América v Monterrey
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 42.27%2.37fair odd
EV -0.664%
Edge -0.283%
Kelly -0.492%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.06%42.54%42.29%48.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.162.152.3552.08%46.27%46.51%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Monterrey (Visit)
Prediction 31.38%3.19fair odd
EV +11.39%
Edge +3.21%
Kelly +4.46%
Growth +0.508%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%31.11%31.37%33.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.073.5536.36%33.04%32.57%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.35%3.79fair odd
EV -0.385%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.138%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.35%26.34%28.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.553.7832.26%28.66%28.17%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 42.27%; Monterrey (Visit): 31.38%; Draw: 26.35%. For Monterrey (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -18.84%E -9.81%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV +11.39%E +3.21%K +4.46%G +0.508% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -18.84%E -9.81%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV +11.39%E +3.21%K +4.46%G +0.508% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -6.16%E -2.77%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.63%EV +4.17%E +1.26%K +1.80%G +0.075% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -12.24%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 03:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -0.385%E -0.102%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -0.385%E -0.102%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.00%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.75%EV -1.44%E -0.385%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -9.08%E -2.63%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 03:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 03:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -3.81%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 03:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-03 03:32 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 03:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 03:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -0.664%E -0.283%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 03:33 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -18.30%E -5.90%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 03:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-03 03:32 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -13.72%E -4.99%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.35%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 03:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -13.72%E -4.99%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |