Idioma:Español
América v Monterrey
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 42.27%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.664%
Ventaja -0.283%
Kelly -0.492%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.06%42.54%42.29%48.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.922.162.152.3552.08%46.27%46.51%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Monterrey (Visitante)
Predicción 31.38%3.19momio equitativo
EV +11.39%
Ventaja +3.21%
Kelly +4.46%
Crecimiento +0.508%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%31.11%31.37%33.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.073.5536.36%33.04%32.57%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.35%3.79momio equitativo
EV -0.385%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.138%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.35%26.34%28.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.553.7832.26%28.66%28.17%26.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América (Local): 42.27%; Monterrey (Visitante): 31.38%; Empate: 26.35%. Para Monterrey (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.19. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.39%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -18.84%E -9.81%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV +11.39%E +3.21%K +4.46%G +0.508% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -18.84%E -9.81%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV +11.39%E +3.21%K +4.46%G +0.508% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%EV -6.16%E -2.77%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.63%EV +4.17%E +1.26%K +1.80%G +0.075% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -12.24%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 03:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -2.73%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -0.385%E -0.102%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -0.385%E -0.102%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.25%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.00%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.75%EV -1.44%E -0.385%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -9.08%E -2.63%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 03:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 03:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -3.81%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 03:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-03 03:32 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 03:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 03:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -0.664%E -0.283%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 03:33 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -10.58%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -18.30%E -5.90%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 03:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 03:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-03 03:32 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -13.72%E -4.99%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.35%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 03:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -13.72%E -4.99%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 03:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |