Language:English
América v Columbus Crew SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 53.27%1.88fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.75%53.33%53.32%56.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.711.8359.88%57.99%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Columbus Crew SC (Visit)
Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV +4.55%
Edge +0.948%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.62%21.63%21.76%22.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.434.404.8025.32%22.58%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -0.206%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.069%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.04%24.92%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.654.0029.41%27.29%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 53.27%; Columbus Crew SC (Visit): 21.78%; Draw: 24.95%. For Columbus Crew SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV +4.55%E +0.948%K +1.20%G +0.054% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-27 02:37 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.87%EV +4.33%E +0.904%K +1.14%G +0.050% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.44%EV -6.69%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -2.70%E -0.692%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 11:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 02:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.72%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +2.37%E +0.505%K +0.641%G +0.015% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 02:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.45%EV -3.29%E -0.741%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.206%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 02:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.45%EV -3.29%E -0.741%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.206%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 02:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.92%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.66%EV -3.51%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -1.95%E -0.497%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.52%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.16%E -0.946%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-27 02:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.16%E -0.946%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 02:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.16%E -0.946%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 02:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.34%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.34%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 02:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 02:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-27 02:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-27 02:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-27 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-27 02:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 02:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-27 02:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-27 02:17 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.99%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.84%EV -9.61%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-27 02:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-27 02:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-27 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.19%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-27 02:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-27 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-27 02:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-27 02:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-27 02:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.38%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -13.96%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-27 02:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-27 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-27 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-27 02:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-08-27 02:40 |