Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

América v Columbus Crew SC

2026-08-27 02:45 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

América (Local)

Prediction 51.18%1.95fair odd
EV -0.193%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.203%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.77%51.09%51.54%52.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.851.851.9558.82%54.01%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Crew SC (Visit)

Prediction 22.74%4.40fair odd
EV +0.035%
Edge +0.008%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%22.73%22.72%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.963.854.4026.67%25.27%25.97%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV -0.890%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.318%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.62%26.19%25.74%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.403.8031.25%28.95%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: América (Local): 51.18%; Columbus Crew SC (Visit): 22.74%; Draw: 26.08%. For Columbus Crew SC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.398. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.400, producing a positive expected value of +0.035%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.41%E -5.31%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV +0.035%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -10.43%E -5.96%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV +0.035%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.02%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 14:33
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -10.43%E -5.96%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV +0.035%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.02%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 14:33
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.12%EV -10.43%E -5.96%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -2.24%E -0.521%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.67%EV -10.80%E -3.16%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 14:33
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 18:44
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.31%E -2.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.46%EV -5.19%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.91%EV -9.24%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 19:49
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.29%E -2.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 14:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -11.96%E -6.96%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -0.890%E -0.234%K -0.318%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 14:33
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -0.890%E -0.234%K -0.318%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -8.89%E -5.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 14:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.43%E -5.96%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -12.99%E -7.64%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.06%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -10.02%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -0.705%E -0.363%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 14:33
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -0.705%E -0.363%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 14:33
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:34
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:34
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 14:33
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.630%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:49
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -1.73%E -0.900%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 14:33
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 19:19
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 18:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -7.87%E -4.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -0.193%E -0.099%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -14.74%E -3.93%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 14:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%11.5%2026-08-24 15:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-24 16:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-24 16:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 15:44