Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

América v Columbus Crew SC

Início: 2026-08-27 02:57 UTC

Final: América 2–0 Columbus Crew SC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

América (Local)

Previsão 53.27%1.88odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.75%53.33%53.32%56.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.721.711.8359.88%57.99%58.48%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Columbus Crew SC (Visitante)

Previsão 21.78%4.59odd justa
EV +4.55%
Vantagem +0.948%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescimento +0.054%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.62%21.63%21.76%22.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.954.434.404.8025.32%22.58%22.73%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.95%4.01odd justa
EV -0.206%
Vantagem -0.051%
Kelly -0.069%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.81%25.04%24.92%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.663.654.0029.41%27.29%27.40%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: América (Local): 53.27%; Columbus Crew SC (Visitante): 21.78%; Empate: 24.95%. Para Columbus Crew SC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.59. 19 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV +4.55%E +0.948%K +1.20%G +0.054%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 02:37
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.87%EV +4.33%E +0.904%K +1.14%G +0.050%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.44%EV -6.69%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -2.70%E -0.692%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 11:04
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:34
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:33
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 02:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +3.46%E +0.729%K +0.923%G +0.032%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 02:09
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.72%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +2.37%E +0.505%K +0.641%G +0.015%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 02:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.45%EV -3.29%E -0.741%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.206%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 02:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.45%EV -3.29%E -0.741%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.206%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 02:24
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.92%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.66%EV -3.51%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -1.95%E -0.497%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 02:34
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.52%EV -2.52%E -1.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.16%E -0.946%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 02:29
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.16%E -0.946%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 02:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.16%E -0.946%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 02:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -4.11%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.34%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.34%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 02:09
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 02:23
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 02:29
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-27 02:29
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-27 02:04
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 02:29
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 02:29
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 02:39
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-27 02:39
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.44%E -5.55%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-27 02:17
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.99%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.84%EV -9.61%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-27 02:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -7.31%E -4.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-27 02:29
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.84%E -4.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-27 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.19%EV -8.91%E -5.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-27 02:04
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-27 02:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-27 02:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-27 02:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.04%E -6.61%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-27 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.38%E -4.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -13.96%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-27 02:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-27 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-27 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-27 02:40
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-27 02:40