Language:English
América v Austin FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 47.56%2.10fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.33%47.53%47.33%49.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.912.0554.05%51.86%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austin FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV +3.58%
Edge +0.862%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.89%24.94%25.22%26.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.813.804.1529.41%26.27%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.53%27.46%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.73%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 47.56%; Austin FC (Visit): 24.96%; Draw: 27.48%. For Austin FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV +3.58%E +0.862%K +1.14%G +0.041% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.56%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 00:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.98%EV -0.917%E -0.231%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.98%EV -0.917%E -0.231%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -10.11%E -5.35%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -1.42%E -0.358%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.66%E -0.683%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.63%E -5.07%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 23:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -3.45%E -1.70%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.07%E -0.297%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.21%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.21%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 00:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -7.73%E -3.99%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -13.89%E -4.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 45.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 28.07% | -3.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 00:25 |