Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América v Austin FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 00:30 UTC

Score final : América 1–1 Austin FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América (Local)

Prévision 47.56%2.10cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.33%47.53%47.33%49.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.931.912.0554.05%51.86%52.36%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Austin FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.96%4.01cote équitable
EV +3.58%
Avantage +0.862%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.89%24.94%25.22%26.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.813.804.1529.41%26.27%26.32%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.297%
Kelly -0.411%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.50%27.53%27.46%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.73%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América (Local) : 47.56% ; Austin FC (Visiteur) : 24.96% ; Match nul : 27.48%. Pour Austin FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.15, soit une espérance positive de +3.58%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV +3.58%E +0.862%K +1.14%G +0.041%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.56%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 00:24
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 00:18
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:09
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:09
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:14
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:09
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:15
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.168%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.98%EV -0.917%E -0.231%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 00:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.98%EV -0.917%E -0.231%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -10.11%E -5.35%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -1.42%E -0.358%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.66%E -0.683%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 00:24
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 00:20
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -2.50%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.63%E -5.07%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 00:24
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 23:29
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -11.06%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 00:20
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 23:29
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 00:04
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -3.45%E -1.70%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.07%E -0.297%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.83%E -2.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 00:24
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.21%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 00:23
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.21%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 00:23
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 00:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 00:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 00:24
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.01%E -6.49%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 00:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -7.73%E -3.99%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -13.89%E -4.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -8.68%E -4.52%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.16%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-14 00:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 45.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 28.07%-3.7%2026-08-14 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-08-14 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-08-14 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-08-14 00:25