Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang v Yunnan Yukun

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 11:00 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 6–0 Yunnan Yukun

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 55.97%1.79fair odd
EV -0.933%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.00%55.84%56.02%57.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.671.661.7764.52%60.00%60.24%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visit)

Prediction 23.74%4.21fair odd
EV -0.309%
Edge -0.074%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.46%23.78%23.72%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.833.854.2030.30%26.09%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.29%4.93fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.517%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.58%20.38%20.27%22.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.404.8325.00%22.57%22.73%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 55.97%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 23.74%; Draw: 20.29%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.309%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.92%EV -0.933%E -0.527%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.73%EV -8.38%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.35%EV -9.29%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:45
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.51%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:40
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -4.85%E -2.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -4.85%E -2.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -14.55%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -16.79%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 10:52
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.12%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.01%EV -1.02%E -0.245%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.87%EV -1.98%E -0.410%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -3.60%E -0.759%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.62%E -0.983%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 10:50
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -15.74%E -4.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -16.79%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -4.62%E -0.983%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:55
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.62%E -0.983%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 10:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.60%E -0.759%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.53%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -7.66%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 10:55
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 10:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -7.09%E -4.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.85%EV -2.92%E -0.714%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.86%EV -9.08%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.09%E -4.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 10:55
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:55
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -12.74%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:49
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -12.74%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:45
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.18%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.77%E -3.52%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.18%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.77%E -3.52%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.08%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -16.92%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -18.82%E -4.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.08%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -16.92%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -18.82%E -4.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.21%E -5.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.77%E -5.38%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -0.309%E -0.074%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.59%E -0.539%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.77%E -5.38%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -16.79%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:55
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -2.68%E -0.654%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.62%E -0.983%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.46%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -12.74%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -13.36%E -3.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:45
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.89%E -6.14%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.89%E -6.14%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:54
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 54.71%EV -13.25%E -8.55%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -21.67%E -6.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.59%EV -12.13%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-29 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%1.9%2026-08-29 10:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.93%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%2.1%2026-08-29 10:55