Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Zhejiang v Yunnan Yukun

Inicio: 2026-08-29 11:00 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 6–0 Yunnan Yukun

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Zhejiang (Local)

Predicción 55.97%1.79momio equitativo
EV -0.933%
Ventaja -0.527%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.00%55.84%56.02%57.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.661.7764.52%60.00%60.24%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Predicción 23.74%4.21momio equitativo
EV -0.309%
Ventaja -0.074%
Kelly -0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.46%23.78%23.72%25.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.833.854.2030.30%26.09%25.97%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.29%4.93momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.517%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.58%20.38%20.27%22.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.404.8325.00%22.57%22.73%20.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zhejiang (Local): 55.97%; Yunnan Yukun (Visitante): 23.74%; Empate: 20.29%. Para Yunnan Yukun (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.21. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.20, con un valor esperado de -0.309%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.92%EV -0.933%E -0.527%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.73%EV -8.38%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.35%EV -9.29%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:45
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -2.05%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -11.72%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -4.29%E -2.51%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:40
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -4.85%E -2.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -4.85%E -2.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -14.55%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -16.79%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 10:52
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.12%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.01%EV -1.02%E -0.245%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.87%EV -1.98%E -0.410%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -3.60%E -0.759%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.62%E -0.983%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 10:50
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11%EV -5.97%E -3.55%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -15.74%E -4.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -16.79%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -4.62%E -0.983%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:55
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.62%E -0.983%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 10:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.60%E -0.759%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.53%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -7.66%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 10:55
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.53%E -3.91%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 10:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -7.09%E -4.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.85%EV -2.92%E -0.714%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.86%EV -9.08%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.09%E -4.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 10:55
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:55
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -12.74%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:49
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -12.74%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:45
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.18%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.77%E -3.52%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.18%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.77%E -3.52%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.08%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -16.92%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -18.82%E -4.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.08%EV -7.65%E -4.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -16.92%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -18.82%E -4.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.21%E -5.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.77%E -5.38%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -0.309%E -0.074%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.59%E -0.539%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.77%E -5.38%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -16.79%E -4.10%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:55
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -2.68%E -0.654%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.68%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.62%E -0.983%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.46%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -12.74%E -2.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.33%E -5.76%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -13.36%E -3.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -10.71%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:45
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.89%E -6.14%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.89%E -6.14%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:54
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 54.71%EV -13.25%E -8.55%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -21.67%E -6.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.59%EV -12.13%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-29 10:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%1.9%2026-08-29 10:55
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.93%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%2.1%2026-08-29 10:55