Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 41.47%2.41fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.729%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.08%41.55%41.49%42.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.202.3750.00%45.31%45.45%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.65%2.97fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.92%33.57%33.61%34.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9140.00%36.34%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV -0.452%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.151%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.88%24.91%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.633.604.0031.25%27.53%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 41.47%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 33.65%; Draw: 24.89%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.452%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.73%EV -1.73%E -0.729%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 06:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.73%EV -1.73%E -0.729%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 06:29
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.72%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.12%EV -2.09%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.16%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 06:30
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.72%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.12%EV -2.09%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.16%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 06:24
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.05%EV -2.76%E -0.955%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.61%EV -7.17%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 06:29
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 06:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 06:15
Bovada🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.50%EV -6.29%E -2.78%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.14%EV -4.78%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 06:29
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -8.48%E -3.12%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 06:15
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -8.48%E -3.12%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 06:14
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 06:24
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 06:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.38%EV -7.12%E -3.18%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 06:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.18%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 06:19
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -0.452%E -0.113%K -0.151%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 06:14
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 06:03
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 06:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 06:14
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 06:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 06:25
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 06:28
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.51%E -4.38%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 06:29
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.51%E -4.38%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 06:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:45
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:45
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.15%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 05:44
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.77%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 06:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -11.26%E -5.26%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 05:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -11.26%E -5.26%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 05:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.22%EV -14.20%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 06:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.52%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 06:14
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.52%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 06:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.78%EV -12.52%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -20.36%E -6.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-14 06:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.63%EV -14.17%E -6.84%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.40%EV -13.19%E -5.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.98%EV -14.14%E -4.10%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-14 06:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.17%EV -17.07%E -8.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.73%EV -15.88%E -6.35%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.10%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-14 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-14 06:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-14 06:30