La escuela de los momios

Zhejiang v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inicio: 2026-03-14 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Predicción 41.47%2.41momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.729%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.08%41.55%41.49%42.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.202.3750.00%45.31%45.45%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Predicción 33.65%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.92%33.57%33.61%34.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9140.00%36.34%36.36%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.89%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.452%
Ventaja -0.113%
Kelly -0.151%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.55%24.88%24.91%26.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.633.604.0031.25%27.53%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.73%EV -1.73%E -0.729%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 06:25
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.73%EV -1.73%E -0.729%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 06:29
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.72%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.12%EV -2.09%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.16%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 06:30
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 41.72%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.12%EV -2.09%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.16%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 06:24
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.05%EV -2.76%E -0.955%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.61%EV -7.17%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 06:29
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 06:29
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 06:15
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 41.50%EV -6.29%E -2.78%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.14%EV -4.78%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 06:29
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -8.48%E -3.12%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 06:15
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -8.48%E -3.12%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 06:14
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 06:24
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:25
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:30
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:24
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:25
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 06:30
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.38%EV -7.12%E -3.18%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 06:30
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 40.93%EV -7.12%E -3.18%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 06:19
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -0.452%E -0.113%K -0.151%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 06:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 06:03
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 06:04
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 06:14
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 06:14
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 06:25
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 06:28
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 06:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.51%E -4.38%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 06:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.51%E -4.38%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 06:29
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:45
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:45
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:45
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.15%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 05:44
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.77%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 06:05
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -11.26%E -5.26%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 05:45
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -11.26%E -5.26%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 05:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.22%EV -14.20%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 06:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.52%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 06:14
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.52%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 06:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.78%EV -12.52%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -20.36%E -6.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-14 06:04
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.63%EV -14.17%E -6.84%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.40%EV -13.19%E -5.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.98%EV -14.14%E -4.10%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-14 06:24
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.17%EV -17.07%E -8.53%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.73%EV -15.88%E -6.35%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.10%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-14 06:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-14 06:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-14 06:30