Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang v Qingdao West Coast FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 68.67%1.46fair odd
EV +22.24%
Edge +12.49%
Kelly +28.51%
Growth +6.34%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%69.02%68.81%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.331.331.7884.03%75.13%75.19%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 13.44%7.44fair odd
EV +20.29%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.518%

assuming max odds 8.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.51%13.29%13.35%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.956.987.008.9525.32%14.33%14.29%11.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.89%5.59fair odd
EV +9.11%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.163%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.42%17.69%17.84%24.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.805.125.206.1026.32%19.52%19.23%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 68.67%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 13.44%; Draw: 17.89%. For Zhejiang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV +22.24%E +12.49%K +28.51%G +6.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -46.91%E -11.88%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -32.03%E -8.43%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.35%EV -3.17%E -2.25%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.29%EV -2.56%E -0.352%K -0.409%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 07:24
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 07:08
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.04%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -9.28%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -6.99%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 07:22
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.73%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -16.67%E -2.69%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 07:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV +7.53%E +0.941%K +1.08%G +0.081%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.63%E -0.296%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 07:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 07:24
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 07:24
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 07:25
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 07:20
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -22.72%E -3.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -22.72%E -3.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 07:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 07:24
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.67%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.84%EV -9.95%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -5.20%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 07:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.15%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.99%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 07:25
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -7.98%E -5.95%K -23.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.63%E -0.296%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 07:24
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.39%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 12.53%EV +0.402%E +0.054%K +0.062%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.08%EV -1.98%E -0.362%K -0.443%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 07:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 07:04
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 07:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 07:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -16.00%E -2.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 07:24
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -17.72%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -26.08%E -4.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 07:24
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.78%EV -9.35%E -7.08%K -29.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.74%EV -10.04%E -7.66%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.44%EV +8.87%E +1.09%K +1.25%G +0.111%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -6.99%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 07:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.38%EV -10.04%E -7.66%K -32.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.96%EV -20.70%E -3.51%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 07:24
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:20
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:20
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -2.56%E -0.352%K -0.409%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 07:24
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 07:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.55%E -5.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-08 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.65%EV -11.41%E -8.85%K -39.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -5.20%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 07:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.43%EV -11.41%E -8.85%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.26%EV -18.01%E -2.95%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.31%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 07:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.07%EV -12.79%E -10.07%K -47.35%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.51%EV +20.29%E +2.27%K +2.55%G +0.518%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +9.11%E +1.49%K +1.79%G +0.163%6.3%2026-03-08 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -12.79%E -10.07%K -47.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 07:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -12.79%E -10.07%K -47.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 07:20
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.23%EV -13.47%E -10.69%K -51.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.25%E +1.68%K +1.90%G +0.271%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV +3.74%E +0.645%K +0.779%G +0.029%8.4%2026-03-08 07:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 68.36%EV -16.22%E -13.29%K -73.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.90%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.74%EV -15.94%E -3.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-08 07:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 71.73%EV -18.28%E -15.36%K -96.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.86%EV -3.23%E -0.448%K -0.521%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.42%EV -6.99%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-08 07:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-03-08 07:25
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.70%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.1%2026-03-08 07:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-03-08 07:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-03-08 07:24
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-03-08 07:24