La escuela de los momios

Zhejiang v Qingdao West Coast FC

Inicio: 2026-03-08 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Predicción 68.67%1.46momio equitativo
EV +22.24%
Ventaja +12.49%
Kelly +28.51%
Crecimiento +6.34%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.11%69.02%68.81%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.331.331.7884.03%75.13%75.19%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visitante)

Predicción 13.44%7.44momio equitativo
EV +20.29%
Ventaja +2.27%
Kelly +2.55%
Crecimiento +0.518%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.51%13.29%13.35%23.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.956.987.008.9525.32%14.33%14.29%11.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.89%5.59momio equitativo
EV +9.11%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.163%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.42%17.69%17.84%24.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.805.125.206.1026.32%19.52%19.23%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV +22.24%E +12.49%K +28.51%G +6.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -46.91%E -11.88%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -32.03%E -8.43%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 07:19
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.35%EV -3.17%E -2.25%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.29%EV -2.56%E -0.352%K -0.409%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 07:24
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 07:08
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 68.04%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -9.28%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -6.99%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 07:22
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.73%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -16.67%E -2.69%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 07:24
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV +7.53%E +0.941%K +1.08%G +0.081%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.63%E -0.296%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 07:24
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 07:24
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 07:24
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 07:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 07:20
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -22.72%E -3.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -6.60%E -4.86%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -22.72%E -3.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -14.15%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 07:24
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 07:24
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.67%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.84%EV -9.95%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -5.20%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 07:24
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.15%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.99%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 07:25
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -7.98%E -5.95%K -23.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.63%E -0.296%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 07:24
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.39%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 12.53%EV +0.402%E +0.054%K +0.062%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.08%EV -1.98%E -0.362%K -0.443%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 07:24
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 07:25
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 07:04
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 07:24
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 07:24
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -16.00%E -2.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 07:24
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -17.72%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 07:25
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -26.08%E -4.74%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 07:24
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.78%EV -9.35%E -7.08%K -29.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.92%E -0.845%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 07:19
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.74%EV -10.04%E -7.66%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.44%EV +8.87%E +1.09%K +1.25%G +0.111%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -6.99%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 07:24
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.38%EV -10.04%E -7.66%K -32.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.96%EV -20.70%E -3.51%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 07:24
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:20
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:19
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -3.41%E -0.632%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 07:20
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -2.56%E -0.352%K -0.409%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 07:24
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.57%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 07:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.72%E -8.25%K -35.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.55%E -5.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-08 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.65%EV -11.41%E -8.85%K -39.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -5.20%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 07:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.43%EV -11.41%E -8.85%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.26%EV -18.01%E -2.95%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.31%EV -15.04%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 07:24
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 74.07%EV -12.79%E -10.07%K -47.35%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.51%EV +20.29%E +2.27%K +2.55%G +0.518%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +9.11%E +1.49%K +1.79%G +0.163%6.3%2026-03-08 07:10
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -12.79%E -10.07%K -47.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 07:19
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -12.79%E -10.07%K -47.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +0.805%E +0.107%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV -6.10%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 07:20
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.23%EV -13.47%E -10.69%K -51.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.25%E +1.68%K +1.90%G +0.271%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV +3.74%E +0.645%K +0.779%G +0.029%8.4%2026-03-08 07:15
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 68.36%EV -16.22%E -13.29%K -73.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.90%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.74%EV -15.94%E -3.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-08 07:19
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 71.73%EV -18.28%E -15.36%K -96.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.86%EV -3.23%E -0.448%K -0.521%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.42%EV -6.99%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-08 07:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-03-08 07:25
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.70%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.1%2026-03-08 07:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-03-08 07:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-03-08 07:24
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-03-08 07:24