Language:English
Zhejiang v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zhejiang (Local)
Prediction 56.02%1.79fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -7.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.48%56.09%55.88%58.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.671.6965.36%60.54%59.88%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 21.72%4.60fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.311%
Kelly +0.395%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.50%21.65%21.81%23.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.234.204.6725.97%23.62%23.81%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.26%4.49fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.606%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.07%22.26%22.31%24.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.114.104.4028.57%24.35%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 56.02%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 21.72%; Draw: 22.26%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.50%EV +1.45%E +0.311%K +0.395%G +0.006% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.24%E -0.498%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -9.81%E -6.09%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.24%E -0.498%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.32%EV -10.93%E -6.88%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.24%E -0.498%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -2.06%E -0.468%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.56%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -7.63%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -12.05%E -7.68%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.67%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 10:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.09%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.09%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.10%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.96%EV -14.29%E -9.34%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -13.10%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -22.09%E -6.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-24 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.49%E -7.27%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -16.36%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.06% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |