La escuela de los momios

Zhejiang v Liaoning Tieren FC

Inicio: 2026-05-24 11:35 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 0–5 Liaoning Tieren FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Predicción 56.02%1.79momio equitativo
EV -5.33%
Ventaja -3.15%
Kelly -7.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.48%56.09%55.88%58.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.651.671.6965.36%60.54%59.88%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)

Predicción 21.72%4.60momio equitativo
EV +1.45%
Ventaja +0.311%
Kelly +0.395%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.50%21.65%21.81%23.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.234.204.6725.97%23.62%23.81%21.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.26%4.49momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.468%
Kelly -0.606%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.07%22.26%22.31%24.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.114.104.4028.57%24.35%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.50%EV +1.45%E +0.311%K +0.395%G +0.006%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.24%E -0.498%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:29
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -9.81%E -6.09%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.24%E -0.498%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:50
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.32%EV -10.93%E -6.88%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.24%E -0.498%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -2.06%E -0.468%K -0.606%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 10:50
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:30
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 11:10
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 11:10
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.56%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -7.63%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 11:10
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 11:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -12.05%E -7.68%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 10:49
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.67%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 10:49
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 10:50
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 10:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 07:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 07:50
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 07:49
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 07:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 07:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 07:50
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 07:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 11:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 11:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 11:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 07:50
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 07:50
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 10:50
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.09%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 07:50
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.09%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 07:49
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.10%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.96%EV -14.29%E -9.34%K -26.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -13.10%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -22.09%E -6.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-24 11:00
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.49%E -7.27%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -16.36%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-24 10:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-05-24 11:30
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-24 11:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73%1.1%2026-05-24 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-24 11:30