Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.22
assuming max odds 3.17
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 44.14%; Beijing FC (Visit): 30.31%; Draw: 25.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.13%EV -2.01%E -0.906%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -10.87%E -3.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -8.29%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -3.90%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.27%EV -2.67%E -0.701%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -4.66%E -2.16%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -16.63%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -4.66%E -2.16%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -16.63%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.76%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 11:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.09%EV -6.63%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.87%E -3.25%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.87%E -3.25%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 11:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.87%E -3.25%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -1.65%E -0.428%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 11:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 11:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -8.19%E -3.94%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 11:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 11:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.14%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.14%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -11.72%E -5.86%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -13.60%E -4.77%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.87%E -3.44%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -11.72%E -5.86%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -18.15%E -6.72%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-17 11:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -11.72%E -5.86%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -12.69%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -20.81%E -6.71%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-17 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.50%EV -13.05%E -6.62%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.14%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 11:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |