La escuela de los momios

Zhejiang v Beijing FC

Inicio: 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 0–0 Beijing FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Predicción 44.14%2.27momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.62%44.06%44.10%44.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.112.102.2250.76%47.37%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Beijing FC (Visitante)

Predicción 30.31%3.30momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.64%30.44%30.37%32.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.963.003.1737.04%33.74%33.33%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.55%3.91momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.578%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.50%25.53%27.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.96%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.13%EV -2.01%E -0.906%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -10.87%E -3.70%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -8.29%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:40
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:40
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:40
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:39
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:39
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -15.12%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 08:40
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -3.90%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.27%EV -2.67%E -0.701%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -4.66%E -2.16%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -16.63%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-16 08:40
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -4.66%E -2.16%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -16.63%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-16 08:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:44
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 11:54
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.76%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 11:53
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.09%EV -6.63%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:44
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.87%E -3.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 11:35
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.87%E -3.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 11:34
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.87%E -3.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 11:39
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -1.65%E -0.428%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 11:54
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:54
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 11:35
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 11:34
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 11:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 11:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 11:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 11:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 11:49
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 11:54
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -8.19%E -3.94%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 11:39
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:53
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:44
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:19
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 11:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 11:18
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 11:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.14%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 11:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.14%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 11:34
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -11.72%E -5.86%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -13.60%E -4.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.87%E -3.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 11:34
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -11.72%E -5.86%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -18.15%E -6.72%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -10.59%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-17 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -11.72%E -5.86%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -12.69%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -20.81%E -6.71%K -9.91%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-17 11:34
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.50%EV -13.05%E -6.62%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.14%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 11:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-04-17 11:50
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-04-17 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-04-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-04-17 11:54