L’École des cotes

Yunnan Yukun v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 0–3 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 63.87%1.57cote équitable
EV +2.19%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +3.65%
Croissance +0.080%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.41%63.49%63.93%65.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.481.451.6071.94%67.64%68.97%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.44%6.48cote équitable
EV +0.359%
Avantage +0.055%
Kelly +0.065%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.17%15.70%15.39%19.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.645.956.5021.28%17.72%16.81%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.69%4.83cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.584%
Kelly -0.742%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.36%20.81%20.68%23.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.25%23.09%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:55
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -26.66%E -5.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:55
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -0.366%E -0.235%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -27.43%E -5.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -19.30%E -4.95%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 07:55
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -0.366%E -0.235%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -27.43%E -5.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -19.30%E -4.95%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 07:55
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.54%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.28%EV -2.42%E -0.383%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.18%EV -5.64%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-17 11:14
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.58%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.82%EV -0.413%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.60%EV -3.99%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 11:54
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:54
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 11:54
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 11:54
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:54
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 11:54
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:53
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:54
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.75%E -4.63%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.03%EV -10.14%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -3.78%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 11:54
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -6.75%E -4.63%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -9.99%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:54
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 11:54
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -8.91%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.78%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -8.91%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.78%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:54
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 11:54
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 11:54
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:54
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:53
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 10:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 10:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 11:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 11:09
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 11:54
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -2.75%E -0.584%K -0.742%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 11:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 11:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 11:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-17 11:54
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -18.17%E -3.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -22.40%E -5.97%K -8.15%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-17 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.16%EV -11.22%E -8.07%K -28.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -19.71%E -3.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-17 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-04-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-17 11:55
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-04-17 11:54