La escuela de los momios

Yunnan Yukun v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Inicio: 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 0–3 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Predicción 63.87%1.57momio equitativo
EV +2.19%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +3.65%
Crecimiento +0.080%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.41%63.49%63.93%65.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.481.451.6071.94%67.64%68.97%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visitante)

Predicción 15.44%6.48momio equitativo
EV +0.359%
Ventaja +0.055%
Kelly +0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.17%15.70%15.39%19.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.645.956.5021.28%17.72%16.81%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.69%4.83momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -0.742%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.36%20.81%20.68%23.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.25%23.09%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:55
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:54
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV +2.19%E +1.37%K +3.65%G +0.080%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -26.66%E -5.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -18.27%E -4.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 07:55
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -0.366%E -0.235%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -27.43%E -5.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -19.30%E -4.95%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 07:55
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -0.366%E -0.235%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -27.43%E -5.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -19.30%E -4.95%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 07:55
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.54%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.28%EV -2.42%E -0.383%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.18%EV -5.64%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-17 11:14
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.58%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.82%EV -0.413%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.60%EV -3.99%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 11:54
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:54
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 11:54
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 11:54
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.48%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:54
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 11:54
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:53
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:54
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.75%E -4.63%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.03%EV -10.14%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -3.78%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 11:54
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -6.75%E -4.63%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -9.99%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:54
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 11:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 11:54
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -8.91%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.78%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -8.91%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -3.78%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 11:54
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 11:54
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 11:54
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:54
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:53
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 10:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 10:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 11:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 11:09
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 11:54
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.88%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -9.31%E -6.55%K -22.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -2.75%E -0.584%K -0.742%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -4.82%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 11:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -10.40%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 11:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 11:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-17 11:54
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -18.17%E -3.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.09%E -3.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -22.40%E -5.97%K -8.15%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-17 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.16%EV -11.22%E -8.07%K -28.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -19.71%E -3.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -8.95%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-17 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-04-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-17 11:55
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-04-17 11:54