Language:English
Yunnan Yukun v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Prediction 29.60%3.38fair odd
EV +0.641%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.267%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.61%29.39%29.61%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.193.4035.71%31.71%31.35%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 43.93%2.28fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.57%44.10%43.93%46.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.082.072.2052.63%48.16%48.31%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV +0.572%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.204%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.02%26.51%26.46%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.8031.25%29.36%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 29.60%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 43.93%; Draw: 26.47%. For Yunnan Yukun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.641%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.23%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.23%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 11:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 09:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -12.13%E -6.07%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -14.33%E -7.35%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 11:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 11:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.84%EV -1.14%E -0.340%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.79%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.84%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -12.13%E -6.07%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 09:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.25%E -5.57%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.25%E -5.57%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -4.69%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.27%EV -5.58%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.43%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -9.48%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.12%EV -5.87%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -6.42%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -10.54%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.86%E -3.24%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.86%E -3.24%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -12.68%E -4.30%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.572%E +0.151%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 11:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -5.12%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.67%EV -16.09%E -8.42%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 25.70%EV -12.13%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -15.64%E -5.49%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -12.13%E -6.07%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.14%EV -15.64%E -5.49%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.83%EV -13.89%E -7.09%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -17.12%E -6.11%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.72%EV -14.33%E -7.35%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.83%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-21 11:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.86%EV -17.12%E -6.11%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.01%EV -16.53%E -8.70%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.13%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |