A Escola das Odds

Yunnan Yukun v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Início: 2026-03-21 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Previsão 29.60%3.38odd justa
EV +0.641%
Vantagem +0.188%
Kelly +0.267%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.61%29.39%29.61%31.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.153.193.4035.71%31.71%31.35%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Previsão 43.93%2.28odd justa
EV -3.35%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.57%44.10%43.93%46.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.082.072.2052.63%48.16%48.31%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.47%3.78odd justa
EV +0.572%
Vantagem +0.151%
Kelly +0.204%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.02%26.51%26.46%28.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.413.403.8031.25%29.36%29.41%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.23%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 11:35
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.23%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 11:34
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 09:24
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -12.13%E -6.07%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 09:24
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV +0.641%E +0.188%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -14.33%E -7.35%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 11:34
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:45
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:45
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:45
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:45
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:45
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:44
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:45
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.06%E -4.38%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -0.839%E -0.251%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:44
Pinnacle3.34I 29.94%NM 28.84%EV -1.14%E -0.340%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.79%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.84%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 11:45
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -2.32%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -12.13%E -6.07%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 09:24
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.25%E -5.57%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 11:45
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -11.25%E -5.57%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 11:45
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -4.69%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:50
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 11:54
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 11:55
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 11:50
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 11:55
GTbets3.19I 31.35%NM 29.27%EV -5.58%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.43%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -9.48%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:05
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.12%EV -5.87%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -6.42%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -10.54%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 11:55
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 11:35
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 11:25
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 11:15
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.86%E -3.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.86%E -3.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 11:15
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 11:54
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 11:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 11:24
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 11:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 11:54
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 11:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 11:55
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -12.68%E -4.30%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 11:15
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.94%E -4.85%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.572%E +0.151%K +0.204%G +0.001%9.6%2026-03-21 11:48
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.16%E -4.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.74%E -3.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -5.12%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.67%EV -16.09%E -8.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 25.70%EV -12.13%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-21 11:39
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -15.64%E -5.49%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -12.13%E -6.07%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 11:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.14%EV -15.64%E -5.49%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.83%EV -13.89%E -7.09%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 11:35
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -17.12%E -6.11%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.72%EV -14.33%E -7.35%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.83%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-21 11:14
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.86%EV -17.12%E -6.11%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.01%EV -16.53%E -8.70%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.13%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-21 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-21 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-21 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-21 11:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-21 11:50
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-03-21 11:35