Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.70
assuming max odds 4.71
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 56.40%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 20.77%; Draw: 22.83%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.37%EV -2.18%E -0.463%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.18%EV -5.47%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 10:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.39%E -0.509%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.39%E -0.509%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -9.66%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -5.93%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.78%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.38%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -1.82%E -0.423%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.10%E -0.976%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.91%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.91%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 10:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.70%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.38%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.52%EV -7.51%E -4.58%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -7.51%E -4.58%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -10.70%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -8.07%E -4.95%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.74%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.90%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.10%E -0.976%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 09:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 10:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-24 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-24 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -10.89%E -6.89%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -16.93%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -9.81%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -11.45%E -7.30%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.81%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -11.45%E -7.30%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.81%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -11.45%E -7.30%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -16.93%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-24 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -11.45%E -7.30%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -16.93%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -22.37%E -6.58%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-24 10:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.15%EV -12.02%E -7.70%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -13.81%E -3.33%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20% | 0.1% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 10:50 |