La escuela de los momios

Yunnan Yukun v Qingdao West Coast FC

Inicio: 2026-05-24 11:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 2–3 Qingdao West Coast FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Predicción 56.40%1.77momio equitativo
EV -4.12%
Ventaja -2.42%
Kelly -5.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.93%56.39%56.29%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.631.641.7064.10%61.18%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visitante)

Predicción 20.77%4.82momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.463%
Kelly -0.588%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.98%20.78%20.81%22.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.504.7125.00%22.56%22.22%21.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.83%4.38momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.423%
Kelly -0.551%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.92%22.83%22.90%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.004.054.3029.41%24.99%24.69%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.45%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.37%EV -2.18%E -0.463%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.18%EV -5.47%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 10:50
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 10:38
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.39%E -0.509%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.39%E -0.509%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 10:40
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:50
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.74%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -9.66%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.73%EV -5.93%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 10:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 55.78%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:50
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 10:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 10:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 10:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 10:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 10:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.38%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -1.82%E -0.423%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.10%E -0.976%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:40
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.91%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 10:39
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.91%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 10:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 10:39
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.70%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.38%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 10:40
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.52%EV -7.51%E -4.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -7.53%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -7.51%E -4.58%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -10.70%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 10:40
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -8.07%E -4.95%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.74%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:30
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 10:09
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 10:10
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 10:09
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 10:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 55.90%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -8.62%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 10:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.10%E -0.976%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 10:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -9.20%E -5.71%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.47%E -0.971%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 09:50
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 10:20
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -10.89%E -6.89%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -16.93%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -9.81%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -11.45%E -7.30%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.81%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 10:10
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -11.45%E -7.30%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.81%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 10:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -11.45%E -7.30%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -16.93%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-24 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -11.45%E -7.30%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -16.93%E -4.23%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -22.37%E -6.58%K -9.32%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-24 10:38
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.15%EV -12.02%E -7.70%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -13.81%E -3.33%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20%0.1%2026-05-24 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73%1.1%2026-05-24 10:50