Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wuhan Three Towns v Yunnan Yukun

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 11:35 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Yunnan Yukun

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV +18.55%
Edge +6.62%
Kelly +10.31%
Growth +1.91%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.51%42.31%42.35%44.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.212.202.8051.28%45.24%45.45%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visit)

Prediction 32.93%3.04fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.667%
Kelly +0.985%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.53%32.97%32.88%40.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.792.803.1043.48%35.88%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.264%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%24.72%24.78%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.453.633.614.0040.82%27.54%27.70%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 42.34%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 32.93%; Draw: 24.74%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV +18.55%E +6.62%K +10.31%G +1.91%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -24.27%E -10.55%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 06:30
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV +5.85%E +2.34%K +3.90%G +0.228%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV +2.07%E +0.667%K +0.985%G +0.020%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -39.40%E -16.08%K -27.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 11:29
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -1.06%E -0.264%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 11:19
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.01%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.86%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.13%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -3.53%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -14.66%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 11:20
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.93%EV -5.16%E -2.30%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.60%EV -2.87%E -0.973%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.47%EV -2.79%E -0.710%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 11:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -8.47%E -3.05%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 11:29
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -8.47%E -3.05%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.65%EV -6.43%E -2.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.47%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.77%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:29
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -13.74%E -5.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -1.06%E -0.264%K -0.352%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 11:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:29
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:29
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -4.77%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.36%EV -7.28%E -3.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -1.22%E -0.408%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 11:20
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:29
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -9.39%E -4.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -1.22%E -0.408%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -9.82%E -4.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -3.20%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 11:30
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.77%EV -10.24%E -4.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 11:30
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.32%EV -1.55%E -0.520%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.08%EV -3.78%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.18%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 11:20
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-31 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-31 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 11:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.82%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%EV -14.39%E -5.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-31 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.51%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.57%EV -20.98%E -8.74%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.93%EV -20.85%E -6.51%K -9.48%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-31 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.75%EV -17.44%E -8.94%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.56%EV -13.74%E -5.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-31 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-31 11:30
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-31 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-05-31 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-05-31 11:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-31 11:30