Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Wuhan Three Towns v Yunnan Yukun

Inicio: 2026-05-31 11:35 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Yunnan Yukun

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Predicción 42.34%2.36momio equitativo
EV +18.55%
Ventaja +6.62%
Kelly +10.31%
Crecimiento +1.91%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.51%42.31%42.35%44.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.212.202.8051.28%45.24%45.45%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Predicción 32.93%3.04momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +0.667%
Kelly +0.985%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.53%32.97%32.88%40.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.792.803.1043.48%35.88%35.71%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.74%4.04momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.264%
Kelly -0.352%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.02%24.72%24.78%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.453.633.614.0040.82%27.54%27.70%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 42.34%; Yunnan Yukun (Visitante): 32.93%; Empate: 24.74%. Para Wuhan Three Towns (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.36. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +18.55%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV +18.55%E +6.62%K +10.31%G +1.91%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -24.27%E -10.55%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 06:30
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV +5.85%E +2.34%K +3.90%G +0.228%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV +2.07%E +0.667%K +0.985%G +0.020%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -39.40%E -16.08%K -27.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 11:29
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -1.06%E -0.264%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 11:19
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.01%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.86%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.13%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:20
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -3.53%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -14.66%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 11:20
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.93%EV -5.16%E -2.30%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.60%EV -2.87%E -0.973%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.47%EV -2.79%E -0.710%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 11:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -8.47%E -3.05%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 11:29
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -8.47%E -3.05%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.65%EV -6.43%E -2.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.47%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.77%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 11:29
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -13.74%E -5.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -1.06%E -0.264%K -0.352%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 11:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:29
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:29
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -4.77%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.36%EV -7.28%E -3.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -1.22%E -0.408%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 11:20
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:29
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -9.39%E -4.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -1.22%E -0.408%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -9.82%E -4.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -3.20%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 11:30
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.77%EV -10.24%E -4.83%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 11:30
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.32%EV -1.55%E -0.520%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.08%EV -3.78%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.18%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 11:20
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-31 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-31 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 11:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.82%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%EV -14.39%E -5.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-31 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.51%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.57%EV -20.98%E -8.74%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.93%EV -20.85%E -6.51%K -9.48%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-31 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.75%EV -17.44%E -8.94%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.56%EV -13.74%E -5.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-31 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-31 11:30
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-31 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-05-31 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-05-31 11:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-31 11:30