L’École des cotes

Wuhan Three Towns v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC

Score final : Wuhan Three Towns 2–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prévision 38.37%2.61cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.55%38.45%38.32%39.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.402.5245.45%41.58%41.67%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.80%2.87cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.783%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.35%34.74%34.84%35.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.662.682.8140.00%37.57%37.31%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -0.874%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.61%26.81%26.84%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.6131.25%29.46%29.41%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.67%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 11:35
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 11:55
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -6.38%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -9.32%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -4.85%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -5.61%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 11:55
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 11:55
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 11:55
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:30
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.78%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.81%EV -7.42%E -2.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:55
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -6.76%E -2.78%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:54
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.15%E -2.95%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.53%EV -6.73%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.15%E -2.95%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.53%EV -6.73%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.29%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.42%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 11:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:55
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:29
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:30
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:20
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:50
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 11:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 11:25
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 11:55
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.47%E -3.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 11:55
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.47%E -3.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 11:55
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.71%EV -9.45%E -4.00%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.35%EV -2.20%E -0.783%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -6.64%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 11:20
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.42%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:10
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:19
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 11:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.75%E -5.11%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 11:08
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -13.67%E -6.08%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-18 11:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -15.59%E -7.09%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-18 11:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-07-18 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-07-18 11:35