La escuela de los momios

Wuhan Three Towns v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Inicio: 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 2–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Predicción 38.37%2.61momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.55%38.45%38.32%39.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.402.5245.45%41.58%41.67%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.80%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.35%34.74%34.84%35.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.662.682.8140.00%37.57%37.31%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.874%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.61%26.81%26.84%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.403.6131.25%29.46%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -4.64%E -1.69%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.67%EV -3.15%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 11:35
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 11:55
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -6.38%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -9.32%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -4.85%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -5.61%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -3.94%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 11:55
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 11:55
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 11:55
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:30
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.78%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.81%EV -7.42%E -2.79%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:55
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -6.76%E -2.78%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:54
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.15%E -2.95%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.53%EV -6.73%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.15%E -2.95%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.53%EV -6.73%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 11:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.29%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.42%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 11:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:55
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:29
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:30
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:20
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:50
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 11:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.91%E -3.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 11:25
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 11:55
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.47%E -3.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 11:55
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.47%E -3.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 11:55
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.71%EV -9.45%E -4.00%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.35%EV -2.20%E -0.783%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -6.64%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 11:20
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.42%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:10
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:19
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 11:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.75%E -5.11%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 11:08
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -13.67%E -6.08%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-18 11:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -15.59%E -7.09%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-18 11:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-07-18 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-07-18 11:45
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-07-18 11:35