Language:English
Wuhan Three Towns v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wuhan Three Towns (Local)
Prediction 37.57%2.66fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%37.65%37.48%39.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.452.5843.48%41.08%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)
Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.28%33.18%33.30%34.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.802.9140.00%35.95%35.71%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.17%29.22%30.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.143.153.3034.72%31.86%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 37.57%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 33.23%; Draw: 29.21%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -3.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -3.07%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.66%EV -3.07%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.31%EV -5.64%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.66%EV -3.07%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.31%EV -5.64%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.96%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.09%EV -8.88%E -2.85%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.16%EV -4.95%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -5.70%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.25%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.65%EV -8.29%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -6.46%E -2.59%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.88%E -2.85%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -6.83%E -2.75%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -6.83%E -2.75%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.72%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 10:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -12.62%E -4.80%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -12.62%E -4.80%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -16.93%E -6.77%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -12.47%E -5.35%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -12.47%E -5.35%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -13.59%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.95%E -4.94%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -13.59%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -11.95%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -13.59%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |