La escuela de los momios

Wuhan Three Towns v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Inicio: 2026-05-06 11:00 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 1–3 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Predicción 37.57%2.66momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.99%37.65%37.48%39.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.432.452.5843.48%41.08%40.82%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)

Predicción 33.23%3.01momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.28%33.18%33.30%34.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.802.9140.00%35.95%35.71%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%29.17%29.22%30.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.143.153.3034.72%31.86%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -3.07%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 10:45
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.66%EV -3.07%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.31%EV -5.64%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.66%EV -3.07%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.31%EV -5.64%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 10:45
Bovada2.54I 39.37%NM 36.96%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.09%EV -8.88%E -2.85%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 10:54
BetUS2.53I 39.53%NM 37.16%EV -4.95%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 10:45
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -5.70%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.25%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.65%EV -8.29%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 10:39
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 10:39
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:45
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 10:35
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -6.46%E -2.59%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.88%E -2.85%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 10:54
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -6.83%E -2.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:35
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -6.83%E -2.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:35
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 10:40
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:54
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:35
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-06 10:40
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 10:39
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 10:39
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 10:39
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 10:39
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 10:40
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-06 10:39
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.72%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 10:55
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:34
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:35
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:35
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:35
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:35
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:35
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:34
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:39
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:39
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:53
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -12.62%E -4.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 10:39
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -12.62%E -4.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 10:39
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-06 10:45
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-06 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -16.93%E -6.77%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-06 10:49
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -12.47%E -5.35%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 10:34
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -12.47%E -5.35%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 10:35
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -13.59%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.95%E -4.94%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-06 10:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -13.59%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -11.95%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 10:34
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -13.59%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-06 10:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-05-06 10:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-06 10:54
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-05-06 10:55