Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wuhan Three Towns v Dalian Yingbo

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 11:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prediction 28.63%3.49fair odd
EV -0.352%
Edge -0.101%
Kelly -0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.31%28.67%28.56%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.203.253.4835.09%31.24%30.77%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visit)

Prediction 44.13%2.27fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.10%44.13%45.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.062.052.1652.63%48.45%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.23%27.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.403.6133.33%29.90%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 28.63%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 44.13%; Draw: 27.23%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.48, with an expected value of -0.352%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.31%EV -0.352%E -0.101%K -0.142%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.87%EV -7.13%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 11:20
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -1.50%E -0.435%K -0.614%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.37%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.89%EV -6.86%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 11:20
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 11:19
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 11:20
Pinnacle🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.81%EV -4.36%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -1.69%E -0.467%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 11:20
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.51%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.51%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 11:19
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 11:19
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.95%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 11:20
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 11:20
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 11:20
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:49
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 11:20
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 11:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 09:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.92%EV -7.76%E -3.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 11:19
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 11:20
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 11:20
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-13 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-13 09:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 27.59%EV -10.66%E -3.42%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.07%EV -15.71%E -8.22%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-13 11:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 11:20
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-13 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-13 09:50
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-13 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-13 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -16.96%E -5.85%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -16.15%E -8.50%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -18.39%E -6.45%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-13 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-03-13 11:20