La escuela de los momios

Wuhan Three Towns v Dalian Yingbo

Inicio: 2026-03-13 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Predicción 28.63%3.49momio equitativo
EV -0.352%
Ventaja -0.101%
Kelly -0.142%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.31%28.67%28.56%30.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.203.253.4835.09%31.24%30.77%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dalian Yingbo (Visitante)

Predicción 44.13%2.27momio equitativo
EV -4.68%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%44.10%44.13%45.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.062.052.1652.63%48.45%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.467%
Kelly -0.646%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.09%27.23%27.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.403.6133.33%29.90%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets3.48I 28.74%NM 27.31%EV -0.352%E -0.101%K -0.142%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.87%EV -7.13%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 11:20
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -1.50%E -0.435%K -0.614%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.37%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.89%EV -6.86%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 11:20
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.64%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 11:19
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 11:20
Pinnacle3.34I 29.94%NM 28.81%EV -4.36%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -1.69%E -0.467%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 11:20
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.51%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 11:20
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.51%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 11:19
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 11:19
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 11:20
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 11:20
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 11:20
Marathon Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.95%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 11:20
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 11:20
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:49
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:50
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 11:20
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:49
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 11:20
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 11:19
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 11:20
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 09:49
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.92%EV -7.76%E -3.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 11:19
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 11:20
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 11:20
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 11:20
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-13 09:50
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-13 09:49
Unibet (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 27.59%EV -10.66%E -3.42%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.07%EV -15.71%E -8.22%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-13 11:20
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 11:20
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 11:20
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-13 09:50
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-13 09:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-13 11:19
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-13 11:20
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -16.96%E -5.85%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -16.15%E -8.50%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -18.39%E -6.45%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-13 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-13 11:20
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-03-13 11:20