Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Zhejiang

Início: 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC

Final: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 2–1 Zhejiang

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Previsão 36.42%2.75odd justa
EV -0.564%
Vantagem -0.207%
Kelly -0.326%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.62%36.38%36.43%38.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.502.502.7343.48%39.99%40.00%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Previsão 36.68%2.73odd justa
EV -0.218%
Vantagem -0.080%
Kelly -0.127%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.93%36.70%36.64%38.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.512.502.7243.48%39.88%40.00%36.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.89%3.72odd justa
EV -0.500%
Vantagem -0.135%
Kelly -0.185%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.06%26.92%26.93%28.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.453.453.7031.25%28.96%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 36.42%; Zhejiang (Visitante): 36.68%; Empate: 26.89%. Para Zhejiang (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.73. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.72, com valor esperado de -0.218%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.29%EV -0.564%E -0.207%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.93%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 11:45
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.32%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 10:40
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.57%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.30%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 11:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.30%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 08:24
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.30%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -6.76%E -2.64%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -0.218%E -0.080%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -6.76%E -2.64%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -0.218%E -0.080%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 11:54
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -0.500%E -0.135%K -0.185%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 08:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:50
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.46%EV -7.48%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -5.35%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.91%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:54
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.11%EV -8.21%E -3.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.72%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -5.07%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:54
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.48%EV -8.21%E -3.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.48%EV -7.55%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:54
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.48%EV -8.21%E -3.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.48%EV -7.55%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -0.500%E -0.135%K -0.185%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 08:25
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 08:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:54
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -12.69%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -12.69%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 04:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 04:00
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 03:59
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 03:59
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 05:15
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 03:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 09:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -9.91%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.10%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.10%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -15.63%E -6.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 11:45
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -13.31%E -5.59%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 03:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -14.40%E -6.13%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 04:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -16.23%E -7.05%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -9.91%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 03:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -16.23%E -7.05%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -9.91%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 04:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.98%2.63I 38.02%NM 38.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-09-06 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.19%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.19%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.19%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-09-06 11:50
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.19%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55