Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Zhejiang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC

Score final : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 2–1 Zhejiang

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prévision 36.42%2.75cote équitable
EV -0.564%
Avantage -0.207%
Kelly -0.326%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.62%36.38%36.43%38.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.7343.48%39.99%40.00%36.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Zhejiang (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.68%2.73cote équitable
EV -0.218%
Avantage -0.080%
Kelly -0.127%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.93%36.70%36.64%38.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.7243.48%39.88%40.00%36.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.89%3.72cote équitable
EV -0.500%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.185%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.06%26.92%26.93%28.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.453.7031.25%28.96%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local) : 36.42% ; Zhejiang (Visiteur) : 36.68% ; Match nul : 26.89%. Pour Zhejiang (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.73. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.72, pour une espérance de -0.218% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.29%EV -0.564%E -0.207%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.78%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.93%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 11:45
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.32%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 10:40
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.57%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.30%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 11:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.30%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 08:24
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.30%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -6.76%E -2.64%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -0.218%E -0.080%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -6.76%E -2.64%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -0.218%E -0.080%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 11:54
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -0.500%E -0.135%K -0.185%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 08:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:50
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.46%EV -7.48%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -5.35%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.91%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:54
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.11%EV -8.21%E -3.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.72%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -5.07%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:54
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.48%EV -8.21%E -3.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.48%EV -7.55%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:54
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.48%EV -8.21%E -3.26%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.48%EV -7.55%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -0.500%E -0.135%K -0.185%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 08:25
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 08:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:54
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -12.69%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -8.94%E -3.58%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -12.69%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 04:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 04:00
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 03:59
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 03:59
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 05:15
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 03:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 09:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.19%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -9.91%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.10%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.10%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -15.63%E -6.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 11:45
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -13.31%E -5.59%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 03:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -14.40%E -6.13%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 04:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -16.23%E -7.05%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -9.91%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 03:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -16.23%E -7.05%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -9.91%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 04:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.98%2.63I 38.02%NM 38.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-09-06 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.19%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.19%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.19%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-09-06 11:50
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.19%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55