La scuola delle quote

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inizio: 2026-04-05 11:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Casa)

Previsione 20.09%4.98quota equa
EV +0.447%
Vantaggio +0.089%
Kelly +0.112%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.81%20.17%20.18%21.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.604.605.0025.00%21.72%21.74%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.69%1.76quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -4.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.29%56.64%56.61%57.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.631.621.7164.10%61.41%61.73%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.22%4.31quota equa
EV +2.18%
Vantaggio +0.496%
Kelly +0.642%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.99%23.18%23.21%26.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.933.904.4030.30%25.46%25.64%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV +2.18%E +0.496%K +0.642%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-05 11:24
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV +2.18%E +0.496%K +0.642%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Pinnacle4.55I 21.98%NM 21.03%EV -8.59%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.97%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.00%EV +1.02%E +0.235%K +0.305%G +0.003%4.5%2026-04-05 11:25
Bovada4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.70%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -1.30%E -0.306%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:23
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.70%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -1.30%E -0.306%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:25
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.46%E -0.586%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:20
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.95%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:24
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV +0.447%E +0.089%K +0.112%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 09:40
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:20
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:20
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 11:15
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:19
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:20
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 11:14
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -19.64%E -4.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.00%E -7.01%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -6.58%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:19
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -6.58%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:20
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -8.79%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.63%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:24
GTbets4.63I 21.60%NM 20.04%EV -6.99%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.73%EV -9.20%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 11:24
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:15
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -3.57%E -0.744%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:00
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.17%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:20
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:20
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:05
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:14
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -3.57%E -0.744%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:15
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:14
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -17.63%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 11:20
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 05:10
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 11:15
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 11:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:30
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:30
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 11:15
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -12.61%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -11.57%E -7.42%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -23.36%E -7.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-05 11:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-04-05 11:30
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-04-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-05 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-05 11:30
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-04-05 11:15