L’École des cotes

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prévision 20.09%4.98cote équitable
EV +0.447%
Avantage +0.089%
Kelly +0.112%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.81%20.17%20.18%21.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.604.605.0025.00%21.72%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.69%1.76cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -4.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.29%56.64%56.61%57.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.631.621.7164.10%61.41%61.73%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.22%4.31cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.496%
Kelly +0.642%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.99%23.18%23.21%26.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.933.904.4030.30%25.46%25.64%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV +2.18%E +0.496%K +0.642%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-05 11:24
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV +2.18%E +0.496%K +0.642%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Pinnacle4.55I 21.98%NM 21.03%EV -8.59%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.97%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.00%EV +1.02%E +0.235%K +0.305%G +0.003%4.5%2026-04-05 11:25
Bovada4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.70%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -1.30%E -0.306%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:23
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.70%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -1.30%E -0.306%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:25
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.46%E -0.586%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:20
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.95%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:24
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV +0.447%E +0.089%K +0.112%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 09:40
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:20
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:20
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 11:15
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:19
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:20
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 11:14
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -19.64%E -4.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.00%E -7.01%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -6.58%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:19
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -6.58%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:20
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -8.79%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.63%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:24
GTbets4.63I 21.60%NM 20.04%EV -6.99%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.73%EV -9.20%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 11:24
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:15
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -3.57%E -0.744%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:00
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.17%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:20
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:20
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:05
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:14
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -3.57%E -0.744%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:15
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:14
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -17.63%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 11:20
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 05:10
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 11:15
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 11:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:30
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:30
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 11:15
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -12.61%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -11.57%E -7.42%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -23.36%E -7.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-05 11:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-04-05 11:30
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-04-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-05 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-05 11:30
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-04-05 11:15