La escuela de los momios

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inicio: 2026-04-05 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Predicción 20.09%4.98momio equitativo
EV +0.447%
Ventaja +0.089%
Kelly +0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.81%20.17%20.18%21.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.604.605.0025.00%21.72%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Predicción 56.69%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -4.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.29%56.64%56.61%57.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.631.621.7164.10%61.41%61.73%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.22%4.31momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.496%
Kelly +0.642%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.99%23.18%23.21%26.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.933.904.4030.30%25.46%25.64%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV +2.18%E +0.496%K +0.642%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-05 11:24
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV +2.18%E +0.496%K +0.642%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Pinnacle4.55I 21.98%NM 21.03%EV -8.59%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.97%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.00%EV +1.02%E +0.235%K +0.305%G +0.003%4.5%2026-04-05 11:25
Bovada4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.70%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -1.30%E -0.306%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:23
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.70%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -1.30%E -0.306%K -0.400%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:25
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.46%E -0.586%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:20
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.95%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:24
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV +0.447%E +0.089%K +0.112%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 09:40
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -5.90%E -3.55%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:20
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:20
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 11:15
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:19
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:20
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 11:14
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -19.64%E -4.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.00%E -7.01%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -6.58%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:19
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -6.58%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:20
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -8.79%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.63%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:24
GTbets4.63I 21.60%NM 20.04%EV -6.99%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.73%EV -9.20%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 11:24
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:15
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -3.57%E -0.744%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:00
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.17%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:20
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:20
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:05
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:14
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -1.56%E -0.319%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -3.57%E -0.744%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:15
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:14
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -17.63%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 11:20
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 05:10
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 11:15
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -13.01%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 11:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:30
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 11:30
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 11:15
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 11:15
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -12.61%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -11.57%E -7.42%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -23.36%E -7.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-05 11:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-04-05 11:30
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-04-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-05 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-05 11:30
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-04-05 11:15