Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Henan FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 11:35 UTC

Final: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–2 Henan FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.359%
Kelly +0.472%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.33%24.34%24.33%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.723.754.2030.30%26.91%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henan FC (Visit)

Prediction 45.36%2.20fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.915%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.79%45.23%45.26%47.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.2552.36%48.85%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.393%
Kelly -0.568%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%30.42%30.40%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.003.2437.04%33.15%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 24.17%; Henan FC (Visit): 45.36%; Draw: 30.47%. For Henan FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV +2.06%E +0.915%K +1.65%G +0.034%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:20
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -0.209%E -0.095%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Pinnacle🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.32%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.95%EV -0.663%E -0.303%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.98%EV -8.28%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 11:20
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -17.83%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -2.48%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:28
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:30
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -17.83%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 11:30
GTbets🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -0.907%E -0.221%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.06%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.80%EV -6.15%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:30
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.35%EV -3.08%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.45%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.49%E -0.779%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:29
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.32%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 11:30
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.32%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:30
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -19.03%E -5.68%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -7.47%E -3.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -19.03%E -5.68%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -7.47%E -3.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-19 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV +1.51%E +0.359%K +0.472%G +0.007%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV +1.51%E +0.359%K +0.472%G +0.007%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:30
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV +1.51%E +0.359%K +0.472%G +0.007%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:30
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +1.51%E +0.359%K +0.472%G +0.007%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 11:28
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 11:30
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -3.32%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 11:29
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 11:30
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 11:30
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -20.24%E -6.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -17.73%E -6.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -5.26%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -12.00%E -6.19%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -1.27%E -0.393%K -0.568%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -12.46%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-19 11:30
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.36%E -7.00%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-19 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-05-19 11:30