La escuela de los momios

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Henan FC

Inicio: 2026-05-19 11:35 UTC

Final: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–2 Henan FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Predicción 24.17%4.14momio equitativo
EV +1.51%
Ventaja +0.359%
Kelly +0.472%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.33%24.34%24.33%26.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.723.754.2030.30%26.91%26.67%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Henan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 45.36%2.20momio equitativo
EV +2.06%
Ventaja +0.915%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.79%45.23%45.26%47.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.2552.36%48.85%48.78%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.47%3.28momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.393%
Kelly -0.568%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%30.42%30.40%31.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.003.2437.04%33.15%33.33%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV +2.06%E +0.915%K +1.65%G +0.034%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:20
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -0.209%E -0.095%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Pinnacle4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.32%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.95%EV -0.663%E -0.303%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.98%EV -8.28%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 11:20
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -17.83%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -2.48%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:28
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:30
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -17.83%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 11:30
GTbets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -0.907%E -0.221%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.06%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.80%EV -6.15%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:30
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.35%EV -3.08%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.45%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.49%E -0.779%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:29
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.32%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 11:30
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.32%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:30
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:30
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:30
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 11:30
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -19.03%E -5.68%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -7.47%E -3.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -19.03%E -5.68%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -7.47%E -3.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-19 11:30
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV +1.51%E +0.359%K +0.472%G +0.007%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:30
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV +1.51%E +0.359%K +0.472%G +0.007%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:30
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV +1.51%E +0.359%K +0.472%G +0.007%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:30
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +1.51%E +0.359%K +0.472%G +0.007%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 11:28
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 11:30
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:29
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -3.32%E -0.831%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 11:29
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 11:30
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 11:29
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 11:30
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -20.24%E -6.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -17.73%E -6.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -5.26%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -12.00%E -6.19%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -1.27%E -0.393%K -0.568%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -12.46%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-19 11:30
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.36%E -7.00%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-19 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-05-19 11:30