The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Shenzhen Peng City FC v Zhejiang

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 11:35 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 1–1 Zhejiang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Prediction 37.06%2.70fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.00%37.22%36.99%39.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.482.6044.44%40.43%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zhejiang (Visit)

Prediction 37.87%2.64fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.05%37.78%37.87%38.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.452.5544.44%41.14%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV +0.251%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.084%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%25.00%25.14%26.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.604.0029.41%27.48%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 37.06%; Zhejiang (Visit): 37.87%; Draw: 25.06%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.251%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +0.251%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:19
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.32%EV -4.38%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.06%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.62%EV -2.00%E -0.513%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -2.26%E -0.578%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 11:19
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:00
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:20
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 10:39
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 10:48
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 11:09
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 11:20
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:18
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 11:20
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.64%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:09
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.31%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -3.42%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.90%EV -6.97%E -2.78%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -8.27%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.52%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 07:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:09
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.08%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:09
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:15
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 07:50
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -16.61%E -7.38%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -14.78%E -6.57%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-22 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.55%EV -7.59%E -3.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 07:54
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 07:49
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 07:49
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:09
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.94%E -4.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.10%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 10:09
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -9.19%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.98%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.29%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.90%E -5.49%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-22 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-22 11:25
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-22 11:00